My prediction for tomorrow's US election is that Kerry will get in, and not just by a whisker. We will never know what bad alternative future has been thus averted. The tangible future which we will experience will be disappointing and messy. As a result people will argue about whether Kerry was 'just as bad as Bush', and whether people who voted for him are responsible for the (doubtless) quite bad things that will happen under his presidency. Meanwhile some dark future will never come into being, and we'll never know how lucky we are.